Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Colgate

80.2%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -405

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 67

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreNavy 78

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricNavy

48.8MMH Power Index56.8

111.7Offensive Efficiency113.2

109.0Defensive Efficiency97.6

2.7Net Efficiency15.6

-2.0Strength of Schedule-8.1

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

68.4Tempo65.9

54.5%Effective FG%53.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.0%Free Throw Rate40.9%

1.8Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–48.8), offensive efficiency (113.2–111.7), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.0), net efficiency (15.6–2.7).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-8.1), shooting efficiency (54.5–53.7), ball security (14.8–17.1).

Final

Colgate

80—72

Navy

Colgate by 8 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATNavy

27-51FG29-62

53.0%FG%47.0%

13-253PT10-25

52.0%3PT%40.0%

13-17FT4-11

76.0%FT%36.0%

34Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists18

16Turnovers9

4Steals7

4Blocks1

9Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braeden Smith	G	32	9-16	4-9	3-4	9	6	2	0	25
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	34	7-9	4-4	3-3	6	3	0	0	21
Keegan Records	Forward	29	4-6	0-0	0-0	9	3	1	2	8
Brady Cummins	G	22	3-4	2-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	8
Parker Jones	G	17	1-4	1-3	5-5	4	0	0	1	8
Sam Thomson	Forward	10	1-3	0-0	2-5	0	0	0	0	4
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	28	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	2	0	1	3
Chandler Baker	Guard	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jeff Woodward	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Cox	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mac MacDonald	Guard	34	6-14	3-7	0-1	3	3	1	0	15
Austin Benigni	G	38	7-12	0-1	0-2	2	8	1	0	14
Donovan Draper	F	32	5-11	2-4	1-2	11	2	3	1	13
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	21	4-10	4-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Mike Woods	F	21	3-5	0-0	3-4	3	2	1	0	9
Mitch Fischer	Forward	24	3-6	1-2	0-2	5	1	0	0	7
Cam Cole	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kam Summers	Guard	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency116.4

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

65.7%Effective FG%54.8%

67.7%True Shooting %53.6%

23.2%Turnover Rate13.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate17.7%

49.0%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.06Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Colgate won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.