Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Jacksonville

52.7%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -111

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 76

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreStetson 76

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricStetson

43.6MMH Power Index40

109.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency115.9

-0.5Net Efficiency-8.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

66.6Tempo68.7

51.7%Effective FG%53.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-0.3Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (109.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.9), net efficiency (-0.5–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.8), recent form (-2.9–-3.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.7).

Final

Jacksonville

55—71

Stetson

Stetson by 16 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATStetson

19-50FG24-53

38.0%FG%45.0%

3-113PT11-26

27.0%3PT%42.0%

14-18FT12-14

78.0%FT%86.0%

32Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists16

13Turnovers12

6Steals7

3Blocks2

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephon Payne	F	28	5-10	0-0	4-4	6	1	3	2	14
Marcus Niblack	G	32	4-9	0-0	4-6	2	2	1	0	12
Gyasi Powell	Guard	37	4-10	2-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Donovan Rivers	F	26	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Jalen Griffith	G	6	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Zach Bell	G	26	1-8	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Jarius Cook	Guard	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Josiah Sabino	G	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
DeeJuan Pruitt	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Tito Deng	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alec Oglesby	G	37	7-13	5-8	2-2	7	1	2	0	21
Stephan Swenson	Guard	34	6-15	3-5	2-2	3	5	2	0	17
Aubin Gateretse	Center	23	5-6	0-0	5-7	7	1	1	2	15
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	30	2-10	1-8	1-1	1	4	0	0	6
Cyncier Harrison	G	12	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Tristan Gross	G	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
Josh Smith	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Treyton Thompson	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Alex Doyle	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Giancarlo Valdez	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Jones	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Naeem Lewis	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bruce Kanno	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

89.1Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency89.1

-25.9Net Efficiency25.9

41.0%Effective FG%55.7%

47.0%True Shooting %59.5%

21.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate26.4%

22.0%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Stetson won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.