American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.8%American University

29.2%Bucknell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -242

Bucknell

10-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 76

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreBucknell 70

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricBucknell

48.2MMH Power Index35.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency99.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.8

4.8Net Efficiency-13.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule2.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.5

67.5Tempo67.7

52.6%Effective FG%48.4%

15.7%Turnover Rate19.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

30.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.3Average Margin-8.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–35.7), offensive efficiency (110.6–99.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.8), net efficiency (4.8–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-4.3), free throw rate (30.7–30.1).

Final

American University

71—63

Bucknell

American University by 8 • 57.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATBucknell

27-58FG24-56

47.0%FG%43.0%

11-253PT10-25

44.0%3PT%40.0%

6-11FT5-7

55.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists13

3Turnovers8

5Steals1

3Blocks4

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Mayock	F	26	8-9	4-5	0-2	4	2	0	1	20
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	32	5-8	1-3	0-1	6	5	1	0	11
Geoff Sprouse	G	24	3-8	3-7	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Matt Rogers	Forward	26	4-10	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	1	10
Greg Jones	F	13	4-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	9
Elijah Stephens	Guard	32	2-9	0-3	0-0	2	5	2	0	4
Lincoln Ball	Guard	26	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	14	0-6	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	0	2
Colin Smalls	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Forrest	Guard	39	6-15	4-9	2-3	6	3	0	1	18
Elvin Edmonds IV	Guard	32	4-10	2-4	0-0	4	4	0	0	10
Ruot Bijiek	F	25	3-8	2-7	1-1	5	1	1	1	9
Ian Motta	F	14	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	8
Josh Bascoe	Guard	36	2-8	0-1	2-3	2	2	0	0	6
Noah Williamson	C	20	3-7	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	1	6
Pip Ajayi	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Josh Adoh	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Brandon McCreesh	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.8Possessions57.8

122.8Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency122.8

13.8Net Efficiency-13.8

56.0%Effective FG%51.8%

56.1%True Shooting %53.1%

5.2%Turnover Rate13.7%

19.0%Free Throw Rate12.5%

43.1%3-Point Rate44.6%

5.33Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

American University won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 57.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.