Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Western Michigan

78.2%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -359

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 74

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreBuffalo 83

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricBuffalo

42.8MMH Power Index49.7

106.9Offensive Efficiency114.9

113.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

-6.7Net Efficiency2.7

2.0Strength of Schedule0.0

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

69.9Tempo67.9

50.3%Effective FG%56.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

34.6%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-4.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–42.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–106.9), defensive efficiency (112.2–113.6), net efficiency (2.7–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–0.0), offensive rebounding (31.0–27.6).

Final

Western Michigan

82—77

Buffalo

Western Michigan by 5 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATBuffalo

32-66FG29-69

48.0%FG%42.0%

10-243PT7-22

42.0%3PT%32.0%

8-12FT12-15

67.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds18

22Assists13

12Turnovers10

4Steals8

2Blocks—

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Seth Hubbard	G	36	7-16	5-10	0-0	6	1	0	0	19
B. Artis White	Guard	33	6-16	3-6	2-2	3	6	1	0	17
Anthony Crump	Forward	21	4-5	0-0	2-3	10	3	2	0	10
JaVaughn Hannah	G	28	4-9	1-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	9
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	19	3-7	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Titus Wright	Center	18	2-4	0-0	2-3	5	1	0	0	6
Javonte Brown	Center	18	3-3	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	2	6
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	23	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	4	0	0	4
Max Burton	F	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	38	10-23	2-7	2-3	4	1	1	24
Isaiah Adams	Guard	38	6-21	1-7	2-2	6	4	3	15
Ryan Sabol	G	36	5-9	3-6	2-2	3	3	1	15
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	34	3-5	1-1	6-8	6	2	2	13
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	26	3-5	0-0	0-0	13	0	0	6
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	4
James Graham III	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

119.9Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency119.9

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

56.1%Effective FG%47.1%

57.2%True Shooting %50.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

18.2%Free Throw Rate21.7%

36.4%3-Point Rate31.9%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Western Michigan won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.