Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Central Michigan

55.2%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -123

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 70

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreBall State 74

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricBall State

44MMH Power Index41.3

105.9Offensive Efficiency101.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

-5.1Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

69.3Tempo66.4

52.6%Effective FG%48.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

32.9%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-3.5Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), recent form (1.3–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–111.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.1), ball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Central Michigan

71—65

Ball State

Central Michigan by 6 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATBall State

24-55FG17-41

44.0%FG%41.0%

9-233PT6-24

39.0%3PT%25.0%

14-17FT25-31

82.0%FT%81.0%

31Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists10

9Turnovers13

7Steals2

1Blocks1

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Rubio	G	31	6-9	4-6	2-2	4	2	2	1	18
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	29	5-9	1-1	4-5	5	6	2	0	15
Derrick Butler	Guard	26	4-7	2-3	4-5	6	0	0	0	14
Brian Taylor	Guard	36	3-7	1-3	2-2	6	1	1	0	9
Markus Harding	C	31	4-10	0-3	0-1	5	2	0	0	8
Paul McMillan IV	G	18	1-7	1-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Jemal Davis	Forward	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Cayden Vasko	G	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Hunter Harding	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	37	7-13	4-10	3-4	5	1	0	0	21
Basheer Jihad	Forward	36	4-8	0-3	8-10	11	2	0	1	16
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	39	3-8	1-6	4-6	3	4	0	0	11
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	39	0-5	0-3	10-10	2	1	1	0	10
Mason Jones	F	32	2-5	1-2	0-1	5	1	1	0	5
Ben Hendriks	Center	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

112.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency112.0

9.5Net Efficiency-9.5

51.8%Effective FG%48.8%

56.3%True Shooting %58.3%

14.3%Turnover Rate20.4%

30.9%Free Throw Rate75.6%

41.8%3-Point Rate58.5%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.