Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%Northern Illinois

93.1%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -1349

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreOhio 85

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricOhio

29.2MMH Power Index48

99.7Offensive Efficiency109.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency110.7

-11.9Net Efficiency-1.0

-2.1Strength of Schedule-0.1

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.7Tempo71.0

48.5%Effective FG%52.0%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.8%

-8.3Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (109.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (110.7–111.6), net efficiency (-1.0–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–28.9), free throw rate (39.6–37.8).

Final

Northern Illinois

66—78

Ohio

Ohio by 12 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATOhio

24-61FG28-55

39.0%FG%51.0%

12-283PT9-22

43.0%3PT%41.0%

6-10FT13-16

60.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists19

9Turnovers8

4Steals6

4Blocks5

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Amos	F	33	9-16	4-8	0-0	7	3	1	0	22
David Coit	G	40	5-15	3-8	4-4	4	3	0	1	17
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	39	5-10	4-5	0-2	2	2	1	1	14
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	29	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Quaran McPherson	G	13	2-6	1-3	1-2	4	0	1	0	6
Will Lovings-Watts	G	23	0-5	0-3	1-2	3	1	1	1	1
Ethan Butler	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Zion Russell	G	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	28	9-13	3-6	2-2	4	0	1	3	23
Jaylin Hunter	Guard	32	5-8	2-2	8-8	8	6	2	0	20
Elmore James IV	G	36	4-8	2-4	1-2	7	2	1	0	11
Ajay Sheldon	G	27	4-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	9
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	23	3-10	0-3	0-0	5	6	0	1	6
Ike Cornish	G	21	1-4	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Aidan Hadaway	F	18	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	4
Gabe Wiznitzer	Center	15	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

107.0Offensive Efficiency126.4

126.4Defensive Efficiency107.0

-19.4Net Efficiency19.4

49.2%Effective FG%59.1%

50.2%True Shooting %62.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

16.4%Free Throw Rate29.1%

45.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

Ohio won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.