UAlbany

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%UAlbany

53.3%NJIT

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNJIT -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINENJIT -114

NJIT

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUAlbany 69

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreNJIT 70

Team Comparison

UAlbanyMetricNJIT

41.9MMH Power Index38.5

107.9Offensive Efficiency98.1

108.8Defensive Efficiency107.2

-0.9Net Efficiency-9.1

-6.1Strength of Schedule-0.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.8

64.3Tempo68.3

52.8%Effective FG%47.0%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

25.0%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-0.6Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UAlbany HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUAlbany holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.9–38.5), offensive efficiency (107.9–98.1), net efficiency (-0.9–-9.1), recent form (0.0–-5.8).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–108.8), strength of schedule (-0.5–-6.1), ball security (16.9–18.6).

Final

UAlbany

79—73

NJIT

UAlbany by 6 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UAlbanyTEAM STATNJIT

26-63FG28-63

41.0%FG%44.0%

8-243PT4-19

33.0%3PT%21.0%

19-25FT13-17

76.0%FT%76.0%

41Rebounds36

18Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists11

15Turnovers14

7Steals9

4Blocks6

15Fouls23

Player Box Score

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Thomas	Guard	40	6-16	4-8	6-8	3	3	1	1	22
Jonathan Beagle	F	36	6-14	0-2	7-7	16	1	2	1	19
Aaron Reddish	Forward	38	6-13	2-4	2-4	9	1	0	1	16
Marcus Jackson	G	32	4-9	1-4	1-3	8	3	1	1	10
Amar'e Marshall	G	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
Tyler Bertram	Guard	24	1-5	0-3	3-3	0	2	2	0	5
Muneer Newton	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ny'Mire Little	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	25	10-17	1-6	1-2	3	6	1	0	22
Levi Lawal	F	26	6-7	0-0	4-5	8	0	1	4	16
Mekhi Gray	G	30	5-11	1-1	3-4	2	2	2	0	14
Adam Hess	Guard	38	3-11	1-7	3-3	4	0	2	0	10
Sebastian Robinson	G	29	2-5	0-0	0-1	3	2	1	0	4
Elijah Buchanan	Guard	22	1-5	0-2	2-2	8	0	2	0	4
Kjell de Graaf	Forward	14	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	2	3
Jake Goldberg	Guard	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

110.5Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency110.5

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

47.6%Effective FG%47.6%

52.8%True Shooting %51.4%

20.9%Turnover Rate19.7%

39.7%Free Throw Rate27.0%

38.1%3-Point Rate30.2%

0.87Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

UAlbany won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.