North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%North Dakota

43.8%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -128

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 77

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 76

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricNorthern Arizona

43.7MMH Power Index36.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency107.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency114.8

-1.0Net Efficiency-7.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-1.8

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

70.1Tempo66.6

50.1%Effective FG%53.5%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

37.5%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-0.7Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–36.9), offensive efficiency (109.2–107.1), defensive efficiency (110.2–114.8), net efficiency (-1.0–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.4), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.1).

Final

North Dakota

73—74

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 1 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

26-64FG24-56

41.0%FG%43.0%

9-293PT9-19

31.0%3PT%47.0%

12-18FT17-22

67.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists15

12Turnovers11

4Steals4

1Blocks1

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Omot	F	32	6-15	0-7	3-5	7	1	1	0	15
Treysen Eaglestaff	G	31	5-13	4-8	0-0	5	4	0	0	14
Tsotne Tsartsidze	Forward	30	4-9	2-4	3-5	4	0	0	1	13
Eli King	G	22	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	9
Tyree Ihenacho	Guard	35	3-11	1-4	1-2	7	2	1	0	8
Brady Danielson	Forward	33	2-6	1-4	2-2	5	2	1	0	7
Amar Kuljuhovic	G	17	2-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	7

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Diego Campisano	F	33	7-10	2-4	2-2	3	1	2	0	18
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	33	5-14	4-10	3-6	3	1	1	0	17
Carson Basham	Forward	29	5-9	0-0	3-4	13	3	0	0	13
Jayden Jackson	G	31	2-9	0-1	6-6	5	1	1	1	10
Liam Lloyd	Guard	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	5	3	0	0	7
Oakland Fort	G	32	1-6	1-1	3-4	5	4	0	0	6
C.J. Ford	Guard	13	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Arman Madi	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency107.2

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

47.7%Effective FG%50.9%

50.3%True Shooting %55.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

28.1%Free Throw Rate39.3%

45.3%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.