Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.7%Old Dominion

84.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -537

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 74

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreArkansas State 87

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricArkansas State

47.2MMH Power Index57.7

107.4Offensive Efficiency113.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency105.3

-2.4Net Efficiency7.8

-0.1Strength of Schedule-1.0

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

70.9Tempo73.3

50.9%Effective FG%52.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.4%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-1.7Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–47.2), offensive efficiency (113.1–107.4), defensive efficiency (105.3–109.8), net efficiency (7.8–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-1.0), ball security (15.4–19.4).

Final

Old Dominion

75—90

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 15 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATArkansas State

30-71FG31-66

42.0%FG%47.0%

9-233PT18-39

39.0%3PT%46.0%

6-8FT10-12

75.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists19

7Turnovers10

7Steals6

1Blocks2

10Fouls10

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vasean Allette	G	37	12-26	2-7	2-2	7	2	1	0	28
Chaunce Jenkins	Guard	32	10-20	5-8	2-4	3	2	1	0	27
Jason Wade	Guard	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	8	1	1	0	4
Devin Ceaser	G	11	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
R.J. Blakney	Forward	30	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Tyrone Williams	Guard	30	1-4	1-3	0-0	7	1	1	0	3
Bryce Baker	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Imo Essien	Guard	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Leeroy Odiahi	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Dani Pounds	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	30	5-12	4-9	2-2	11	1	1	0	16
Avery Felts	Guard	27	5-10	5-9	0-0	5	3	0	0	15
Caleb Fields	Guard	35	5-11	2-5	1-2	1	10	0	0	13
Derrian Ford	G	25	4-11	3-9	2-2	4	1	1	0	13
Izaiyah Nelson	F	26	3-5	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	1	9
Julian Lual	Guard	16	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Taryn Todd	Guard	27	3-9	1-2	0-0	3	4	4	1	7
Lado Laku	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

104.5Offensive Efficiency125.3

125.3Defensive Efficiency104.5

-20.9Net Efficiency20.9

48.6%Effective FG%60.6%

50.1%True Shooting %62.8%

9.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

11.3%Free Throw Rate18.2%

32.4%3-Point Rate59.1%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.