Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%Tennessee State

40.3%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -148

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 79

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricMorehead State

55.4MMH Power Index47.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.8

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.2Net Efficiency0.8

-3.1Strength of Schedule-4.0

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

72.4Tempo67.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (8.2–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–50.9), offensive rebounding (36.4–34.8), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

68—78

Morehead State

Morehead State by 10 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATMorehead State

25-57FG28-55

44.0%FG%51.0%

7-193PT5-16

37.0%3PT%31.0%

11-18FT17-24

61.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists10

16Turnovers7

6Steals12

4Blocks7

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Williams	Guard	26	6-11	1-1	1-3	5	3	0	0	14
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	34	5-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	3	11
EJ Bellinger	Guard	28	5-11	1-5	0-1	3	2	0	0	11
Christian Brown	Guard	30	3-10	2-5	2-2	3	2	3	0	10
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	30	3-9	1-2	2-3	9	2	1	1	9
Michael Shanks	Forward	22	2-5	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	0	7
Jaylen Jones	G	16	1-3	1-2	3-5	2	1	0	0	6
Knute Wood	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Denim Dawson	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
David Acosta	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Lathon	Guard	35	10-20	1-4	10-10	6	2	5	1	31
Kalil Thomas	Guard	31	6-12	3-8	0-0	3	0	2	1	15
Riley Minix	Forward	28	4-6	0-2	4-4	5	1	3	0	12
Drew Thelwell	Guard	37	4-7	1-2	0-0	5	3	1	0	9
Dieonte Miles	Forward	30	2-6	0-0	2-6	6	1	0	2	6
Eddie Ricks III	F	24	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	3	1	3	3
Zach Iyeyemi	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jerone Morton	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

101.5Offensive Efficiency116.4

116.4Defensive Efficiency101.5

-14.9Net Efficiency14.9

50.0%Effective FG%55.5%

51.9%True Shooting %58.7%

23.7%Turnover Rate10.5%

31.6%Free Throw Rate43.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.81Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.