UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%UNLV

79.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -376

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 73

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 83

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricSan Diego State

52.8MMH Power Index60.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.6Defensive Efficiency99.3

1.4Net Efficiency11.0

2.7Strength of Schedule3.8

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.4Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.0Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

UNLV

61—72

San Diego State

San Diego State by 11 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATSan Diego State

23-58FG22-48

40.0%FG%46.0%

8-303PT5-16

27.0%3PT%31.0%

7-12FT23-30

58.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists8

14Turnovers17

7Steals9

3Blocks3

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	38	6-15	1-6	0-4	3	5	2	0	13
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	33	5-13	3-8	0-0	5	0	1	1	13
Justin Webster	Guard	31	3-10	3-8	0-0	2	2	0	0	9
Kalib Boone	Forward	27	3-5	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	1	8
Keylan Boone	Forward	21	1-4	1-4	3-4	6	0	0	0	6
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	18	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	2	1	6
Jalen Hill	Forward	14	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Cottrell	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	33	8-14	0-1	4-9	11	0	3	0	20
Micah Parrish	Guard	26	5-8	2-5	2-2	2	0	3	0	14
Darrion Trammell	Guard	29	3-10	1-3	3-3	2	1	2	0	10
Jay Pal	Forward	20	0-2	0-1	7-8	6	0	0	0	7
Miles Byrd	G	15	2-3	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	7
Lamont Butler	Guard	28	1-3	0-1	3-4	0	3	0	0	5
Elijah Saunders	F	20	1-2	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	1	5
Reese Waters	Guard	22	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Miles Heide	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

90.4Offensive Efficiency106.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency90.4

-16.3Net Efficiency16.3

46.6%Effective FG%51.0%

47.9%True Shooting %57.8%

21.0%Turnover Rate24.9%

20.7%Free Throw Rate62.5%

51.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.