Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Georgia State

87.0%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -669

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 66

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 79

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricSouth Alabama

38.9MMH Power Index51.4

101.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

-6.2Net Efficiency6.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.5Tempo67.4

45.3%Effective FG%53.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

37.4%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-4.3Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.5), net efficiency (6.4–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.2–24.9).

Final

Georgia State

90—76

South Alabama

Georgia State by 14 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

33-60FG28-66

55.0%FG%42.0%

10-213PT7-22

48.0%3PT%32.0%

14-19FT13-19

74.0%FT%68.0%

36Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists6

11Turnovers12

9Steals10

3Blocks3

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Taylor	Guard	39	9-13	3-4	1-2	1	2	1	0	22
Toneari Lane	G	36	7-16	6-12	0-1	2	1	2	0	20
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	20	6-8	0-1	1-2	7	0	0	0	13
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	32	5-9	1-2	0-0	10	1	5	1	11
Dwon Odom	Guard	33	3-9	0-0	4-4	2	4	1	0	10
Brenden Tucker	Guard	14	3-4	0-1	4-4	5	1	0	0	10
Jamaine Mann	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Ed Nnamoko	F	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	2	2

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrell Jones	Guard	36	7-14	4-7	4-6	1	1	2	1	22
Samuel Tabe	Guard	22	5-9	0-0	7-9	2	0	2	0	17
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	39	7-20	2-5	0-0	3	2	2	0	16
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	29	4-6	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	9
Thomas Howell	Forward	31	3-6	0-0	2-2	17	0	2	1	8
Marcus Millender	G	17	1-4	0-3	0-1	0	2	1	0	2
Marshall Kearing	Forward	8	1-4	0-2	0-1	4	1	0	0	2
Ethan Kizer	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Julian Margrave	F	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

124.1Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency124.1

19.3Net Efficiency-19.3

63.3%Effective FG%47.7%

65.2%True Shooting %50.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.7%Free Throw Rate28.8%

35.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.