UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%UC Davis

83.5%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -506

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 70

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 81

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Irvine

48.4MMH Power Index58.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

103.7Defensive Efficiency95.0

3.5Net Efficiency11.9

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

72.4Tempo72.3

52.3%Effective FG%50.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

41.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

2.5Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–48.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–103.7), net efficiency (11.9–3.5), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.9).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), shooting efficiency (52.3–50.7), free throw rate (41.5–36.5).

Final

UC Davis

71—74

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 3 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Irvine

26-69FG21-50

38.0%FG%42.0%

7-243PT3-11

29.0%3PT%27.0%

12-19FT29-33

63.0%FT%88.0%

30Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists14

11Turnovers22

12Steals4

3Blocks4

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	40	10-20	3-9	3-5	2	1	1	0	26
TY Johnson	Guard	33	6-14	0-3	8-9	4	5	4	0	20
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	27	4-10	3-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Sione Lose	Guard	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Kane Milling	Guard	35	2-8	0-1	0-1	2	0	1	0	4
Pablo Tamba	F	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Francesco Borra	Forward	10	1-3	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	0	2
Niko Rocak	F	25	0-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	2	2	1
Ade Adebayo	Forward	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	1	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Hohn	Guard	35	5-10	0-3	4-4	1	3	0	0	14
Bent Leuchten	Center	20	4-8	0-1	6-6	9	1	1	3	14
Andre Henry	G	33	3-7	2-4	4-4	5	0	0	1	12
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	33	3-8	0-1	2-3	0	5	1	0	8
Devin Tillis	F	31	2-5	1-2	2-2	10	3	1	0	7
Derin Saran	G	19	3-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	7
Carter Welling	F	14	0-3	0-0	6-6	4	0	0	0	6
Dean Keeler	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	2
Hayden Welling	F	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Langston Redfield	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

93.5Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency93.5

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

42.8%Effective FG%45.0%

45.5%True Shooting %56.3%

14.3%Turnover Rate29.5%

27.5%Free Throw Rate66.0%

34.8%3-Point Rate22.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.