Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Eastern Illinois

72.4%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -262

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 67

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 74

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricLittle Rock

39.9MMH Power Index44

99.6Offensive Efficiency103.0

104.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

-4.8Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.4Tempo68.5

47.5%Effective FG%50.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

33.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-3.2Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), recent form (-0.7–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–108.2), net efficiency (-4.8–-5.2), ball security (18.5–18.7).

Final

Eastern Illinois

90—88

Little Rock

Eastern Illinois by 2 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATLittle Rock

32-62FG31-56

52.0%FG%55.0%

11-203PT12-23

55.0%3PT%52.0%

15-18FT14-18

83.0%FT%78.0%

28Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists18

8Turnovers17

9Steals2

1Blocks5

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tiger Booker	Guard	38	9-16	3-5	10-10	1	2	4	0	31
Corey Sawyer Jr.	Guard	37	6-11	2-3	5-6	3	4	3	1	19
Kyndall Davis	G	31	7-10	3-3	0-0	7	2	1	0	17
Kooper Jacobi	F	33	4-10	1-3	0-2	4	5	0	0	9
Nakyel Shelton	G	30	3-8	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	7
Dan Luers	Guard	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Sincere Malone	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Griffin	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	33	7-12	3-4	1-1	5	7	0	0	18
Bradley Douglas	G	29	6-9	6-8	0-0	5	1	0	0	18
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	24	7-9	1-1	0-1	7	2	1	1	15
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	23	2-4	0-0	3-4	5	4	0	1	7
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	17	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	26	1-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	1	5
Cougar Downing	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Creed Williamson	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

124.8Offensive Efficiency122.1

122.1Defensive Efficiency124.8

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

60.5%Effective FG%66.1%

63.8%True Shooting %68.2%

11.3%Turnover Rate23.1%

29.0%Free Throw Rate32.1%

32.3%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Eastern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.