App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%App State

62.2%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -165

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total146.0

Projected ScoreTroy 75

Team Comparison

App StateMetricTroy

54.2MMH Power Index54.1

110.9Offensive Efficiency112.6

101.7Defensive Efficiency103.9

9.2Net Efficiency8.7

-4.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

64.9Tempo70.4

51.1%Effective FG%52.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.0Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–54.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–103.9), net efficiency (9.2–8.7), recent form (7.0–2.0).

Troy COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.6–110.9), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1).

Final

App State

62—66

Troy

Troy by 4 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATTroy

23-56FG25-64

41.0%FG%39.0%

5-183PT8-25

28.0%3PT%32.0%

11-18FT8-12

61.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists11

14Turnovers10

5Steals13

7Blocks—

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Huntley	Forward	26	5-6	2-3	1-2	5	1	1	0	13
Tre'Von Spillers	F	29	5-10	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	1	11
Myles Tate	Guard	26	2-5	0-2	5-6	1	4	0	0	9
Donovan Gregory	Forward	30	3-9	0-0	1-3	3	1	0	0	7
Christopher Mantis	Forward	13	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Terence Harcum	Guard	27	1-8	1-7	2-3	6	0	1	0	5
Justin Abson	F	24	2-6	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	4	4
Jordan Marsh	G	12	2-7	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	1	4
Xavion Brown	Guard	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	1	3

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	30	8-16	3-7	0-1	4	3	4	19
Tayton Conerway	G	17	5-7	1-2	4-4	1	0	1	15
Victor Valdes	F	21	4-6	3-5	1-3	7	0	2	12
Theo Seng	F	24	3-5	0-1	3-4	4	1	0	9
Christyon Eugene	Guard	37	3-14	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	6
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	15	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	3
Jackson Fields	F	28	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	3	2	2
Thomas Dowd	F	16	0-5	0-2	0-0	6	1	2	0
Randarius Jones	C	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

90.2Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency90.2

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

45.5%Effective FG%45.3%

48.0%True Shooting %47.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

32.1%Free Throw Rate18.8%

32.1%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Troy won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.