Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Marshall

55.5%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -125

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 76

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 78

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricTexas State

52MMH Power Index49.4

114.7Offensive Efficiency107.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.4

4.4Net Efficiency4.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-4.7

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.7Tempo68.6

55.2%Effective FG%51.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

29.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%

3.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–49.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–107.7), net efficiency (4.4–4.3), strength of schedule (0.9–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–110.3), recent form (9.1–-4.9), offensive rebounding (34.3–32.1).

Final

Marshall

79—75

Texas State

Marshall by 4 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATTexas State

26-53FG28-60

49.0%FG%47.0%

8-193PT4-11

42.0%3PT%36.0%

19-26FT15-19

73.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists15

11Turnovers13

7Steals6

4Blocks2

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	37	5-10	1-3	10-14	3	1	2	1	21
Kevon Voyles	Guard	26	6-10	1-2	3-4	2	2	3	0	16
Nate Martin	Forward	36	5-8	0-0	4-6	12	2	2	0	14
Kamdyn Curfman	Guard	36	5-14	3-8	0-0	2	5	0	0	13
Jacob Conner	F	33	3-6	2-3	0-0	4	4	0	0	8
Wyatt Fricks	F	19	1-3	0-1	2-2	4	2	0	3	4
Marko Sarenac	Guard	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ryan Nutter	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Love	Forward	31	11-13	0-0	1-3	9	0	1	2	23
Kaden Gumbs	G	36	3-12	0-1	9-10	4	4	2	0	15
Jordan Mason	G	32	4-11	1-4	2-2	4	7	0	0	11
Davion Sykes	G	21	3-6	1-1	1-2	6	0	2	0	8
Dylan Dawson	Guard	32	3-8	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	7
Coleton Benson	G	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Christian Turner	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Chris Nix	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Joshua O'Garro	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.3

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

56.6%Effective FG%50.0%

60.4%True Shooting %54.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.6%

49.1%Free Throw Rate31.7%

35.8%3-Point Rate18.3%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Marshall won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.