Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Southern Illinois

61.7%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -161

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 69

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 74

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricIllinois State

54.6MMH Power Index54.3

103.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

4.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.6Strength of Schedule1.0

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.6Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%54.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.4Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–54.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–101.4), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (7.7–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–103.4), net efficiency (9.2–4.9), shooting efficiency (54.3–49.5).

Final

Southern Illinois

71—64

Illinois State

Southern Illinois by 7 • 57.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATIllinois State

25-47FG26-59

53.0%FG%44.0%

11-213PT3-18

52.0%3PT%17.0%

10-11FT9-15

91.0%FT%60.0%

28Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds14

20Assists14

10Turnovers7

3Steals2

3Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	39	9-18	4-7	4-4	5	9	1	0	26
Trent Brown	Guard	38	7-10	6-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	20
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	18	2-3	1-2	4-4	3	0	0	3	9
AJ Ferguson	Guard	29	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	2	1	0	6
Scottie Ebube	C	5	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Troy D'Amico	Forward	29	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	5	0	0	2
Clarence Rupert	Forward	23	1-3	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	0	2
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Jovan Stulic	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Trey Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Foster	Forward	36	8-13	0-1	1-1	9	4	0	1	17
Kendall Lewis	Forward	37	6-10	1-3	3-5	8	0	1	1	16
Dalton Banks	Guard	31	5-11	0-4	1-5	1	3	1	0	11
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	29	3-10	2-7	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
Darius Burford	Guard	24	3-10	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Luke Kasubke	Guard	27	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Johnny Kinziger	G	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Brandon Lieb	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jordan Davis	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.7Possessions57.7

123.1Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency123.1

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

64.9%Effective FG%46.6%

68.0%True Shooting %48.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate11.8%

23.4%Free Throw Rate25.4%

44.7%3-Point Rate30.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 57.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.