Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Northwestern State

69.4%Lamar

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLamar -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINELamar -227

Lamar

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 65

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreLamar 72

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricLamar

41.3MMH Power Index44.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency105.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

-5.0Net Efficiency1.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-3.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

63.6Tempo66.6

49.5%Effective FG%48.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate28.5%

-3.2Average Margin0.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.0–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-3.0), recent form (-4.9–-8.2), shooting efficiency (49.5–48.8).

Final

Northwestern State

70—90

Lamar

Lamar by 20 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATLamar

22-48FG31-61

46.0%FG%51.0%

10-243PT7-23

42.0%3PT%30.0%

16-30FT21-28

53.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists18

19Turnovers14

2Steals10

—Blocks2

23Fouls28

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cliff Davis	G	29	10-16	7-11	0-0	5	1	0	27
Duane Posey	G	12	2-2	0-0	6-6	2	1	0	10
Braelon Bush	G	38	1-7	0-4	4-6	3	7	0	6
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	18	2-2	0-0	2-4	4	0	1	6
Jae Slack	F	7	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	6
Chase Forte	G	24	1-3	0-1	2-7	1	2	0	4
Jimel Lane	F	20	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	3
Chris Mubiru	G	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	3
Justin Wilson	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	1-3	2	2	0	3
Anthony Thomas	Guard	22	1-6	0-1	0-2	3	1	0	2

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Hamilton	Center	26	6-11	0-0	6-8	12	2	1	1	18
B.B. Knight	G	30	5-12	3-9	3-3	5	1	1	0	16
Terry Anderson	Forward	24	5-6	1-1	4-7	7	1	1	0	15
Chris Pryor	Guard	22	4-8	1-4	3-4	3	7	4	0	12
Ja'Sean Jackson	Guard	19	3-4	2-3	2-2	2	1	3	0	10
Errol White	F	6	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Cody Pennebaker	G	26	2-9	0-3	1-2	5	2	0	0	5
Jakevion Buckley	G	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Valentin Catt	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Aleksa Lekic	Center	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Brian Gordon	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Janko Bulajic	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Max Pearcy	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

94.9Offensive Efficiency122.0

122.0Defensive Efficiency94.9

-27.1Net Efficiency27.1

56.3%Effective FG%56.6%

56.2%True Shooting %60.6%

25.9%Turnover Rate18.8%

62.5%Free Throw Rate45.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Lamar won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.