Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.2%Alabama State

14.8%Mississippi Valley State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -576

Mississippi Valley State

3-30

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 81

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 70

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricMississippi Valley State

38MMH Power Index17.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency91.1

107.4Defensive Efficiency117.8

-5.7Net Efficiency-26.7

-6.2Strength of Schedule-4.1

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.3

71.9Tempo70.5

48.2%Effective FG%45.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate21.8%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.5%

-4.1Average Margin-18.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–17.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–91.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.8), net efficiency (-5.7–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.2).

Final

Alabama State

54—51

Mississippi Valley State

Alabama State by 3 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATMississippi Valley State

18-53FG17-40

34.0%FG%43.0%

2-173PT5-13

12.0%3PT%38.0%

16-26FT12-18

62.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds4

5Assists8

11Turnovers16

8Steals6

—Blocks4

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	31	3-11	1-2	6-11	3	0	0	13
Isaiah Range	Guard	24	2-6	1-3	3-4	7	0	1	8
Ubong Okon	C	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	6
JaSteven Walker	F	13	3-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	6
Micah Octave	G	34	2-6	0-3	0-1	7	2	1	4
CJ Hines	G	25	1-8	0-3	2-2	5	1	2	4
Sean Smith	G	15	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	2	0	4
Amarr Knox	G	9	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	4
Kendal Parker	G	19	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	3
Eric Coleman	Forward	10	0-2	0-2	2-4	2	0	2	2

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Sanders	Guard	24	5-8	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Danny Washington	Guard	37	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Rayquan Brown	Guard	37	1-8	0-2	8-11	11	2	2	1	10
Arecko Gipson	Guard	30	3-7	1-1	3-5	10	1	0	1	10
Darrius Clark	Guard	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Reginald Reynolds	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Ernest Minton	Guard	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Walter Hamilton	Forward	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Chidi Umeh	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
George Ivory III	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jordan Johnson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

87.8Offensive Efficiency82.9

82.9Defensive Efficiency87.8

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

35.8%Effective FG%48.8%

41.3%True Shooting %52.5%

17.6%Turnover Rate26.4%

49.1%Free Throw Rate45.0%

32.1%3-Point Rate32.5%

0.45Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.