Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Colorado

57.9%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -138

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 79

Projected Total161.1

Projected ScoreArizona State 82

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricArizona State

52.7MMH Power Index51

112.9Offensive Efficiency108.1

112.4Defensive Efficiency110.9

0.5Net Efficiency-2.8

5.1Strength of Schedule7.0

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

71.0Tempo70.6

53.0%Effective FG%51.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate40.2%

0.4Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (112.9–108.1), net efficiency (0.5–-2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–51.3).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.9–112.4), strength of schedule (7.0–5.1), recent form (-7.5–-7.7).

Final

Colorado

73—76

Arizona State

Arizona State by 3 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATArizona State

23-48FG25-57

48.0%FG%44.0%

7-203PT8-22

35.0%3PT%36.0%

20-27FT18-27

74.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists13

13Turnovers8

4Steals11

1Blocks8

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Simpson	Guard	40	8-17	3-6	4-5	5	4	0	0	23
J'Vonne Hadley	G	37	6-7	1-1	6-6	5	1	1	1	19
Tristan da Silva	Forward	36	6-14	2-8	3-4	3	3	1	0	17
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	30	2-4	0-0	4-6	6	2	0	0	8
Luke O'Brien	Forward	25	1-3	1-3	0-2	3	0	2	0	3
Javon Ruffin	G	21	0-2	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	0	2
Assane Diop	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Bangot Dak	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamiya Neal	Guard	36	7-13	1-3	4-5	7	2	4	0	19
Adam Miller	G	32	5-13	3-8	5-7	2	1	0	0	18
Frankie Collins	G	32	3-11	1-4	5-8	1	4	3	0	12
Jose Perez	Guard	33	3-9	1-3	2-4	5	4	1	1	9
Bryant Selebangue	F	24	3-4	0-0	1-1	5	0	2	2	7
Kamari Lands	G	17	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	18	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	3	3
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	2	3
Braelon Green	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

106.9Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency106.9

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

55.2%Effective FG%50.9%

60.0%True Shooting %54.4%

19.5%Turnover Rate11.5%

56.3%Free Throw Rate47.4%

41.7%3-Point Rate38.6%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.