Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Omaha

66.0%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -194

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 75

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreIdaho State 79

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricIdaho State

44.5MMH Power Index45.9

110.2Offensive Efficiency111.0

110.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

-0.6Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.5Strength of Schedule0.2

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

69.0Tempo67.1

53.6%Effective FG%52.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

34.0%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-0.5Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Omaha HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOmaha holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (110.8–113.4), net efficiency (-0.6–-2.4), recent form (-4.5–-9.6), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.9–44.5), offensive efficiency (111.0–110.2), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.5).

Final

Omaha

62—63

Idaho State

Idaho State by 1 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATIdaho State

22-46FG24-53

48.0%FG%45.0%

5-103PT9-24

50.0%3PT%38.0%

13-15FT6-9

87.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds27

4Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists16

10Turnovers10

6Steals6

3Blocks2

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marquel Sutton	F	33	6-12	2-2	3-3	5	1	2	0	17
JJ White	G	37	3-8	1-3	5-6	6	5	3	0	12
Frankie Fidler	Forward	37	4-7	1-1	2-2	5	4	0	1	11
Nick Davis	Forward	30	3-9	0-0	3-4	5	0	1	0	9
Tony Osburn	G	29	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Ja'Sean Glover	G	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Jamal Ambrose	C	10	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Biko Johnson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	33	5-12	4-8	0-0	4	2	0	0	14
Isaiah Griffin	F	31	3-7	1-3	2-2	6	0	0	0	9
Miguel Tomley	Guard	27	4-7	0-2	1-1	2	4	0	0	9
Kiree Huie	F	20	4-8	0-1	1-4	3	1	0	1	9
AJ Burgin	Guard	15	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Trent Johnson	F	24	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	2	1	1	7
Maleek Arington	G	40	2-7	0-1	2-2	4	7	5	0	6
Jordan Hansen	Guard	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

103.9Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

-1.7Net Efficiency1.7

53.3%Effective FG%53.8%

58.4%True Shooting %55.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.6%Free Throw Rate17.0%

21.7%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.