Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%Sacramento State

91.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -17.2

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -1076

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 71

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 89

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

43MMH Power Index59.8

106.1Offensive Efficiency116.8

112.0Defensive Efficiency102.2

-5.9Net Efficiency14.6

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.6

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

73.2Tempo70.0

48.5%Effective FG%59.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

41.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-4.3Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–43.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–106.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–112.0), net efficiency (14.6–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.6), offensive rebounding (25.1–22.1), free throw rate (41.8–35.2).

Final

Sacramento State

50—63

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 13 • 58.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

21-49FG20-47

43.0%FG%43.0%

3-213PT7-25

14.0%3PT%28.0%

5-7FT16-19

71.0%FT%84.0%

33Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists11

17Turnovers10

4Steals7

1Blocks1

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	34	7-10	1-2	1-2	6	0	0	0	16
Jacob Holt	Forward	17	4-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	10
Austin Patterson	Guard	31	4-10	1-5	0-0	5	2	0	0	9
Emil Skytt	G	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	4	1	0	5
Zee Hamoda	G	30	1-8	0-5	0-0	4	2	3	0	2
Alex Kovatchev	G	20	1-5	0-3	0-1	3	1	0	0	2
Bowyn Beatty	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bailey Nunn	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Brandon Betson	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Akol Mawein	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	18	4-10	1-2	4-5	0	1	2	0	13
Raheem Anthony	Guard	33	2-3	1-2	7-8	4	2	2	0	12
Kendall Blue	G	28	4-9	1-5	1-1	4	1	0	0	10
Ben Nau	Guard	20	3-7	3-7	0-0	2	1	2	0	9
Drake Dobbs	Guard	32	2-4	0-2	4-4	1	2	0	0	8
Ahjany Lee	F	20	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	6
Carter Bjerke	F	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Ryan Dufault	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Brooks Allen	Forward	30	0-5	0-4	0-0	4	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.7Possessions58.7

85.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency85.2

-22.1Net Efficiency22.1

45.9%Effective FG%50.0%

47.8%True Shooting %56.2%

29.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

14.3%Free Throw Rate40.4%

42.9%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 58.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.