Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.5%Central Arkansas

16.5%North Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -506

North Alabama

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 72

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricNorth Alabama

54MMH Power Index34.9

113.9Offensive Efficiency104.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency116.7

8.7Net Efficiency-12.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.2

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

71.0Tempo66.5

54.3%Effective FG%48.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.1Average Margin-8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–34.9), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–116.7), net efficiency (8.7–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-3.9), offensive rebounding (31.5–29.6), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

84—81

North Alabama

Central Arkansas by 3 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATNorth Alabama

28-57FG27-67

49.0%FG%40.0%

10-243PT14-34

42.0%3PT%41.0%

18-24FT13-22

75.0%FT%59.0%

36Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists14

12Turnovers8

4Steals6

7Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker Anderson	F	34	7-13	5-7	5-7	4	3	0	2	24
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	27	6-14	2-6	1-1	2	1	0	1	15
Javion Guy-King	G	16	4-7	0-2	3-3	2	2	0	1	11
Masai Olowokere	Guard	36	4-8	1-3	0-0	7	7	1	0	9
Daniel Sofield	Guard	18	3-6	2-4	1-3	1	2	1	0	9
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	19	1-2	0-0	5-6	3	2	0	0	7
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	4
Elias Cato	Forward	20	1-4	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	2	4
Ibbe Klintman	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Johnson	Guard	27	6-8	4-5	3-4	2	2	0	0	19
Jacari Lane	G	25	7-16	1-4	2-4	3	6	1	0	17
Dallas Howell	F	30	4-11	4-10	4-4	9	1	0	1	16
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	32	3-9	1-4	2-8	7	0	1	0	9
Detalian Brown	Guard	22	3-8	2-6	0-0	1	2	2	1	8
Canin Jefferson	G	7	2-3	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	7
Will Soucie	Guard	22	1-6	1-2	0-0	6	2	0	1	3
Damian Forrest	Forward	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

114.3Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency114.3

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

57.9%Effective FG%50.7%

61.4%True Shooting %52.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate11.0%

42.1%Free Throw Rate32.8%

42.1%3-Point Rate50.7%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.