UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%UC San Diego

51.6%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -107

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Fullerton

53.4MMH Power Index49.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency108.8

100.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.7Net Efficiency1.7

-1.3Strength of Schedule-1.2

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

69.8Tempo76.3

53.1%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.4Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–107.1), net efficiency (7.7–1.7), recent form (5.4–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.4), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.3), ball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

UC San Diego

76—58

Cal State Fullerton

UC San Diego by 18 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

29-48FG20-47

60.0%FG%43.0%

9-223PT5-17

41.0%3PT%29.0%

9-13FT13-22

69.0%FT%59.0%

35Rebounds19

8Offensive Rebounds4

12Assists8

15Turnovers10

5Steals6

3Blocks2

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Pope	Guard	39	11-17	4-9	3-3	5	1	2	0	29
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	26	4-6	1-1	3-3	2	3	0	0	12
Tyler McGhie	Guard	25	3-7	1-5	2-4	0	0	0	1	9
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	33	3-7	1-4	0-1	13	1	1	1	7
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	17	3-3	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	0	6
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	16	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Hayden Gray	Guard	36	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	6	1	1	4
Camden McCormick	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Cade Pendleton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin DeGraaf	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quin Patterson	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Pearson Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	29	7-10	3-4	1-1	2	1	1	0	18
Max Jones	Guard	28	5-10	1-2	6-9	2	3	4	0	17
Donovan Oday	G	23	3-8	1-4	1-1	1	0	0	0	8
Vincent Lee	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	6
John Mikey Square	Not Available	20	1-1	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	1	4
Beril Kabamba	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Grayson Carper	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Kendrick De Luna	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Antwan Robinson	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Keith Richard	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

121.8Offensive Efficiency92.9

92.9Defensive Efficiency121.8

28.8Net Efficiency-28.8

69.8%Effective FG%47.9%

70.1%True Shooting %50.5%

24.5%Turnover Rate15.8%

27.1%Free Throw Rate46.8%

45.8%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.