UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%UC Santa Barbara

49.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -104

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal Poly

51.4MMH Power Index46.5

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.1Net Efficiency-3.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule1.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

68.5Tempo76.6

54.8%Effective FG%52.2%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.8%

4.8Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.0), recent form (2.4–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

61—52

Cal Poly

UC Santa Barbara by 9 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal Poly

21-42FG17-56

50.0%FG%30.0%

5-133PT5-22

38.0%3PT%23.0%

14-18FT13-18

78.0%FT%72.0%

37Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists9

17Turnovers8

4Steals7

6Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Anderson	Guard	23	5-10	4-6	2-2	1	1	0	0	16
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	33	5-11	0-2	3-4	4	2	0	0	13
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	30	4-5	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	9
Ben Shtolzberg	G	23	1-4	0-2	6-8	3	1	1	0	8
Yohan Traore	F	32	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	6
Jason Fontenet II	G	24	1-3	0-2	2-2	10	1	1	1	4
Ariel Bland	F	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	4
Matija Belic	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Kilian Brockhoff	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	35	8-17	1-3	5-6	5	5	1	0	22
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	21	2-5	0-0	3-4	5	0	1	0	7
Jarred Hyder	Guard	37	2-12	2-8	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Justin Page	G	24	2-9	0-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	5
Paul Bizimana	Forward	29	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Joel Armotrading	C	19	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	1	3
Quentin Jones	G	16	1-7	1-3	0-0	0	1	2	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Isaac Spears	Guard	8	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

98.2Offensive Efficiency83.7

83.7Defensive Efficiency98.2

14.5Net Efficiency-14.5

56.0%Effective FG%34.8%

60.3%True Shooting %40.3%

27.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.1%

31.0%3-Point Rate39.3%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.