Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.8%Michigan

2.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -24.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -4445

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 92

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScorePenn State 67

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricPenn State

80.9MMH Power Index42.3

122.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

25.3Net Efficiency-8.4

8.7Strength of Schedule5.3

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

71.8Tempo67.5

58.8%Effective FG%53.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

18.1Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–42.3), offensive efficiency (122.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–117.6), net efficiency (25.3–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Michigan

73—79

Penn State

Penn State by 6 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATPenn State

26-52FG26-62

50.0%FG%42.0%

8-243PT7-23

33.0%3PT%30.0%

13-20FT20-26

65.0%FT%77.0%

39Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists11

19Turnovers7

3Steals11

2Blocks5

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrance Williams II	F	36	8-14	3-7	5-5	5	1	1	0	24
Olivier Nkamhoua	Forward	38	6-10	0-4	1-2	9	3	0	0	13
Dug McDaniel	G	31	4-7	1-3	2-4	2	5	0	0	11
Nimari Burnett	G	34	3-8	2-6	2-3	6	6	2	1	10
Tray Jackson	Not Available	19	2-4	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	16	2-2	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	0	5
Will Tschetter	F	16	1-4	1-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Youssef Khayat	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	1-3	1	0	0	1	1
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	37	8-13	0-2	9-10	2	4	3	1	25
Kanye Clary	G	35	5-20	2-6	6-8	5	2	1	0	18
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	18	4-7	2-4	3-5	2	0	2	0	13
Qudus Wahab	Forward	30	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	1	2	2	8
Zach Hicks	Forward	21	2-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Puff Johnson	G	20	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	5
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	24	1-2	0-0	2-3	8	1	0	1	4
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Demetrius Lilley	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jameel Brown	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

101.4Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency101.4

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

57.7%Effective FG%47.6%

59.3%True Shooting %53.1%

26.2%Turnover Rate9.8%

38.5%Free Throw Rate41.9%

46.2%3-Point Rate37.1%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Penn State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.