Massachusetts

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Massachusetts

80.9%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -424

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 72

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreDayton 81

Team Comparison

MassachusettsMetricDayton

51.5MMH Power Index59.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency108.5

106.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

3.6Net Efficiency7.0

0.9Strength of Schedule5.7

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

72.8Tempo68.3

53.2%Effective FG%52.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.7%Free Throw Rate47.6%

2.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–51.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.7), net efficiency (7.0–3.6), strength of schedule (5.7–0.9).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.3–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.0), offensive rebounding (33.7–26.7).

Final

Massachusetts

60—64

Dayton

Dayton by 4 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MassachusettsTEAM STATDayton

24-66FG18-47

36.0%FG%38.0%

3-223PT10-29

14.0%3PT%34.0%

9-15FT18-21

60.0%FT%86.0%

45Rebounds33

20Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists12

8Turnovers12

7Steals4

1Blocks2

19Fouls11

Player Box Score

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Cross	Forward	30	7-11	2-3	2-2	14	2	0	0	18
Josh Cohen	Forward	34	5-13	1-2	4-7	9	3	2	0	15
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	35	4-17	0-10	0-0	4	0	1	1	8
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	19	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	3	0	6
Jaylen Curry	G	15	2-7	0-3	2-4	0	1	0	0	6
Jayden Ndjigue	G	29	2-4	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Keon Thompson	G	25	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	0
Robert Davis Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	36	7-14	3-6	1-2	6	4	0	1	18
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	29	3-7	2-6	3-4	2	1	1	1	11
Nate Santos	Forward	32	1-6	1-6	6-6	5	3	0	0	9
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	15	3-6	2-3	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Koby Brea	Guard	37	2-5	2-5	0-0	7	1	1	0	6
Isaac Jack	F	9	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Javon Bennett	G	37	0-5	0-3	4-4	1	2	2	0	4
Kobe Elvis	Guard	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

96.6Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency96.6

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

38.6%Effective FG%48.9%

41.0%True Shooting %56.2%

13.1%Turnover Rate19.1%

22.7%Free Throw Rate44.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate61.7%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Dayton won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.