Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Indiana State

91.4%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -1063

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 62

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricNorthern Iowa

44.4MMH Power Index61

104.7Offensive Efficiency108.4

106.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

-1.3Net Efficiency12.0

0.1Strength of Schedule2.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

70.3Tempo64.1

53.6%Effective FG%54.6%

19.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

28.8%Free Throw Rate26.2%

-0.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–104.7), defensive efficiency (96.4–106.0), net efficiency (12.0–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.3–21.9), free throw rate (28.8–26.2).

Final

Indiana State

77—66

Northern Iowa

Indiana State by 11 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

25-52FG22-57

48.0%FG%39.0%

15-343PT1-15

44.0%3PT%7.0%

12-16FT21-28

75.0%FT%75.0%

38Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists4

14Turnovers7

5Steals9

2Blocks4

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayson Kent	Forward	39	8-13	3-7	5-7	13	1	0	1	24
Isaiah Swope	Guard	38	4-11	2-6	1-2	3	3	0	0	11
Julian Larry	Guard	30	3-7	2-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	10
Ryan Conwell	G	29	3-6	2-3	2-3	5	1	4	0	10
Masen Miller	Guard	18	3-4	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Robbie Avila	C	29	2-6	2-5	2-2	10	8	0	1	8
Aaron Gray	Forward	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jake Wolfe	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Xavier Bledson	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jaden Daughtry	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bowen Born	Guard	34	8-16	1-4	10-10	0	1	2	0	27
Jacob Hutson	Center	28	6-12	0-1	2-4	6	0	0	0	14
Trey Campbell	G	35	2-9	0-3	3-3	4	2	1	1	7
Tytan Anderson	Guard	34	1-3	0-0	5-6	7	0	3	2	7
Nate Heise	G	35	3-9	0-5	0-3	5	1	2	1	6
Michael Duax	F	13	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
RJ Taylor	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Landon Wolf	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Drew Daniel	Guard	4	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Pock	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Courbat	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Charlie Miller	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency95.1

95.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

15.9Net Efficiency-15.9

62.5%Effective FG%39.5%

64.6%True Shooting %46.9%

20.4%Turnover Rate10.0%

30.8%Free Throw Rate49.1%

65.4%3-Point Rate26.3%

1.21Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.