Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Northern Kentucky

20.7%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -383

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 89

Projected Total168.4

Projected ScoreCleveland State 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricCleveland State

53.9MMH Power Index37.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency120.2

7.8Net Efficiency-8.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

72.3Tempo71.5

54.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.7%

5.7Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–37.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–120.2), net efficiency (7.8–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.5), free throw rate (38.7–37.1).

Final

Northern Kentucky

85—88

Cleveland State

Cleveland State by 3 • 74.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATCleveland State

27-58FG29-74

47.0%FG%39.0%

8-223PT7-23

36.0%3PT%30.0%

23-30FT23-31

77.0%FT%74.0%

37Rebounds47

14Offensive Rebounds26

11Assists15

16Turnovers11

6Steals9

3Blocks6

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	42	7-19	3-11	13-13	2	4	0	0	30
Michael Bradley	Guard	42	6-8	2-3	1-2	2	4	0	0	15
Keeyan Itejere	F	38	5-8	0-0	4-6	8	0	3	2	14
Trey Robinson	Guard	41	4-11	1-4	2-4	9	2	2	1	11
LJ Wells	F	34	2-5	0-0	3-5	9	0	1	0	7
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	12	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Randall Pettus II	G	9	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cade Meyer	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristan Enaruna	Forward	40	10-24	0-3	4-5	12	5	2	0	24
Jayson Woodrich	Guard	26	5-12	4-11	4-5	2	0	0	0	18
Drew Lowder	Guard	31	3-13	2-7	4-4	2	3	0	0	12
Tae Williams	Guard	34	5-11	0-0	1-5	11	3	2	0	11
Tevin Smith	Guard	22	2-5	0-0	7-8	7	0	0	2	11
Chase Robinson	Guard	24	3-5	1-1	0-0	0	2	5	0	7
Dylan Arnett	F	36	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	3	3
Jalin Rice	G	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Ramar Pryor	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.0Possessions74.0

114.9Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency114.9

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

53.4%Effective FG%43.9%

58.8%True Shooting %49.6%

21.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

51.7%Free Throw Rate41.9%

37.9%3-Point Rate31.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Cleveland State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.