Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.9%Michigan State

25.1%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -298

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 77

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricNorthwestern

69.8MMH Power Index55.4

117.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

101.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

15.5Net Efficiency1.8

7.2Strength of Schedule5.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.3Tempo65.6

54.1%Effective FG%51.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.0%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate34.8%

10.5Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–55.4), offensive efficiency (117.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.8), net efficiency (15.5–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

74—88

Northwestern

Northwestern by 14 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATNorthwestern

25-52FG32-59

48.0%FG%54.0%

9-193PT9-23

47.0%3PT%39.0%

15-22FT15-18

68.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists22

13Turnovers5

3Steals7

3Blocks3

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	34	10-18	4-7	3-4	3	3	0	1	27
AJ Hoggard	Guard	33	3-9	2-4	5-5	4	8	1	0	13
Jaden Akins	Guard	32	5-10	3-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	13
Carson Cooper	C	17	3-3	0-0	4-6	6	0	2	0	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	16	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	7
Tre Holloman	G	23	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	1	4
Malik Hall	Forward	25	0-4	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Coen Carr	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	1	0
Xavier Booker	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaxon Kohler	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davis Smith	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Berry	Guard	35	7-11	4-7	4-4	4	2	2	0	22
Boo Buie	Guard	38	6-15	1-6	6-6	1	10	3	1	19
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	34	5-9	2-3	4-5	7	1	1	0	16
Ryan Langborg	Guard	33	5-11	2-6	0-0	1	4	0	0	12
Luke Hunger	F	19	5-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	1	10
Nick Martinelli	F	22	4-6	0-0	1-3	6	3	0	0	9
Matthew Nicholson	Center	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Blake Preston	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

113.7Offensive Efficiency135.2

135.2Defensive Efficiency113.7

-21.5Net Efficiency21.5

56.7%Effective FG%61.9%

59.2%True Shooting %65.1%

19.9%Turnover Rate7.7%

42.3%Free Throw Rate30.5%

36.5%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.23Assist / Turnover4.40

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.