Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Wake Forest

65.3%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -188

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 78

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreFlorida State 83

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricFlorida State

57.6MMH Power Index58.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency111.9

109.7Defensive Efficiency108.5

2.7Net Efficiency3.4

7.2Strength of Schedule5.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

70.2Tempo71.8

52.8%Effective FG%52.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

36.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–57.6), defensive efficiency (108.5–109.7), net efficiency (3.4–2.7), recent form (7.6–-0.1).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–111.9), strength of schedule (7.2–5.7), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.4).

Final

Wake Forest

82—87

Florida State

Florida State by 5 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATFlorida State

28-59FG28-55

47.0%FG%51.0%

9-253PT7-13

36.0%3PT%54.0%

17-21FT24-30

81.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists15

20Turnovers13

9Steals10

1Blocks5

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	36	9-18	3-9	4-5	4	1	0	0	25
Boopie Miller	G	37	7-16	1-5	6-6	8	5	2	0	21
Parker Friedrichsen	G	24	4-8	3-7	2-3	1	2	2	0	13
Hunter Sallis	Guard	33	4-8	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Efton Reid III	Forward	28	3-5	0-1	3-3	9	0	1	0	9
Andrew Carr	Forward	28	1-4	0-0	2-4	5	1	2	1	4
Zach Keller	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Marqus Marion	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	28	4-9	0-2	11-11	3	9	1	1	19
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	31	7-12	3-5	0-0	5	0	5	0	17
Baba Miller	F	29	4-8	2-3	4-5	3	0	0	3	14
Cameron Corhen	F	17	3-5	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	7
Jalen Warley	G	21	0-4	0-0	6-8	4	3	2	0	6
Chandler Jackson	G	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
De'Ante Green	F	13	2-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	9	1-2	1-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Primo Spears	Guard	21	1-6	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

104.2Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency104.2

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

55.1%Effective FG%57.3%

59.4%True Shooting %62.8%

25.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.6%Free Throw Rate54.5%

42.4%3-Point Rate23.6%

0.55Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Florida State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.