Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.7%Northern Illinois

88.3%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Michigan -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Michigan -755

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 70

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 83

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricWestern Michigan

29.2MMH Power Index42.8

99.7Offensive Efficiency106.9

111.6Defensive Efficiency113.6

-11.9Net Efficiency-6.7

-2.1Strength of Schedule2.0

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

69.7Tempo69.9

48.5%Effective FG%50.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-8.3Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.9–99.7), net efficiency (-6.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (2.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–113.6), offensive rebounding (31.7–31.0), free throw rate (39.6–34.6).

Final

Northern Illinois

90—95

Western Michigan

Western Michigan by 5 • 82.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATWestern Michigan

30-63FG31-58

48.0%FG%53.0%

12-293PT8-20

41.0%3PT%40.0%

18-24FT25-47

75.0%FT%53.0%

35Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists14

16Turnovers12

4Steals4

—Blocks2

32Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
David Coit	G	45	10-19	5-13	7-8	3	10	0	32
Xavier Amos	F	32	5-10	4-6	0-0	2	0	0	14
Quaran McPherson	G	35	3-10	0-4	6-7	5	0	0	12
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	30	4-7	0-0	1-4	13	0	1	9
Ethan Butler	F	21	4-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	9
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	36	1-9	1-4	3-4	4	4	3	6
Will Lovings-Watts	G	19	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	6
Zion Russell	G	0	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
B. Artis White	Guard	40	8-14	4-8	5-7	3	3	1	0	25
Seth Hubbard	G	36	8-15	3-8	2-2	3	2	1	0	21
Javonte Brown	Center	18	6-9	0-0	4-11	5	0	0	1	16
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	27	3-5	1-1	5-8	1	2	1	0	12
JaVaughn Hannah	G	31	1-7	0-2	6-6	3	1	0	0	8
Max Burton	F	13	3-4	0-0	0-2	2	3	0	0	6
Anthony Crump	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	1-7	7	0	0	0	3
Titus Wright	Center	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	3
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	22	0-1	0-1	1-2	10	2	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

82.4Possessions82.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency109.2

-6.1Net Efficiency6.1

57.1%Effective FG%60.3%

60.5%True Shooting %59.1%

19.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

38.1%Free Throw Rate81.0%

46.0%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Western Michigan won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 82.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.