Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Toledo

51.3%Kent State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKent State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEKent State -105

Kent State

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreKent State 84

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricKent State

58.8MMH Power Index54.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency107.6

6.4Net Efficiency6.3

2.3Strength of Schedule-0.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

69.8Tempo74.0

55.1%Effective FG%53.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

30.3%Free Throw Rate43.5%

4.5Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–113.9), net efficiency (6.4–6.3), strength of schedule (2.3–-0.1).

Kent State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–109.6), offensive rebounding (35.0–30.4), free throw rate (43.5–30.3).

Final

Toledo

89—75

Kent State

Toledo by 14 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATKent State

28-48FG27-60

58.0%FG%45.0%

7-123PT11-26

58.0%3PT%42.0%

26-31FT10-13

84.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds23

5Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists13

15Turnovers14

8Steals9

4Blocks3

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Cochran	G	28	8-9	3-3	2-2	6	1	2	1	21
Javan Simmons	F	25	6-7	0-0	3-6	3	3	1	2	15
Sonny Wilson	G	31	4-9	1-1	4-4	1	2	0	0	13
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	31	3-6	0-1	7-8	5	4	2	0	13
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	37	3-9	2-5	3-3	6	3	3	0	11
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	24	2-2	1-1	5-5	5	1	0	0	10
Sam Lewis	G	10	2-4	0-1	2-3	0	0	0	0	6
Ben Wight	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Xavier Thomas	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grgur Brcic	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Marko Maletic	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kent State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Sullinger	Guard	33	7-12	3-7	4-5	0	4	0	0	21
Chris Payton Jr.	Forward	30	6-10	1-3	2-3	6	2	0	3	15
VonCameron Davis	Forward	21	5-9	1-1	3-3	5	1	2	0	14
Mike Bekelja	Guard	13	3-4	3-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	9
Tyem Freeman	Guard	13	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Giovanni Santiago	Guard	39	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	5	3	0	5
Brenden Moss	G	16	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
LA Hayes	G	11	0-6	0-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Julius Rollins	G	16	0-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Reggie Bass	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Magnus Entenmann	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jake Snyder	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

123.6Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency123.6

19.4Net Efficiency-19.4

65.6%Effective FG%54.2%

70.9%True Shooting %56.7%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.7%

64.6%Free Throw Rate21.7%

25.0%3-Point Rate43.3%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Toledo won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.