Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.1%Northwestern

27.9%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -258

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 78

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricPenn State

55.4MMH Power Index42.3

111.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.8Net Efficiency-8.4

5.6Strength of Schedule5.3

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

65.6Tempo67.5

51.9%Effective FG%53.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.2Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–42.3), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–117.6), net efficiency (1.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.4–51.9).

Final

Northwestern

76—72

Penn State

Northwestern by 4 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATPenn State

27-44FG25-54

61.0%FG%46.0%

7-123PT3-17

58.0%3PT%18.0%

15-21FT19-24

71.0%FT%79.0%

25Rebounds30

2Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists11

18Turnovers13

9Steals14

3Blocks1

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	35	8-11	1-2	6-7	4	1	1	1	23
Boo Buie	Guard	36	6-9	2-3	3-5	5	8	1	0	17
Ty Berry	Guard	35	5-8	4-5	2-2	5	2	4	0	16
Nick Martinelli	F	29	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Ryan Langborg	Guard	30	2-7	0-2	1-3	0	1	2	0	5
Matthew Nicholson	Center	22	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	5
Luke Hunger	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	2
Blake Preston	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	34	7-13	1-2	10-10	4	2	1	0	25
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	24	6-9	0-1	2-4	7	1	0	0	14
Qudus Wahab	Forward	25	4-5	0-0	5-6	10	1	1	1	13
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	37	2-9	0-3	2-2	3	5	8	0	6
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	23	2-5	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Puff Johnson	G	17	3-5	0-2	0-2	1	0	1	0	6
Zach Hicks	Forward	25	1-8	0-6	0-0	3	2	2	0	2
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Favour Aire	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

109.0Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency109.0

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

69.3%Effective FG%49.1%

70.4%True Shooting %55.0%

25.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

47.7%Free Throw Rate44.4%

27.3%3-Point Rate31.5%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.