Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%Providence

90.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -16.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -999

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 74

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreSt. John's 90

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricSt. John's

54.2MMH Power Index70.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

1.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate41.1%

1.3Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

Providence

73—75

St. John's

St. John's by 2 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATSt. John's

27-61FG26-54

44.0%FG%48.0%

8-233PT7-18

35.0%3PT%39.0%

11-21FT16-25

52.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists12

10Turnovers13

8Steals4

1Blocks5

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	35	11-19	2-6	7-12	13	2	4	0	31
Jayden Pierre	G	38	7-15	3-6	0-2	1	5	0	0	17
Ticket Gaines	Guard	40	4-9	2-6	1-3	4	0	0	1	11
Garwey Dual	G	33	2-4	1-2	2-2	1	4	0	0	7
Josh Oduro	Forward	31	2-8	0-1	1-2	9	2	3	0	5
Rafael Castro	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rich Barron	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	37	6-12	4-5	0-0	4	8	0	0	16
Joel Soriano	Center	33	4-8	0-1	8-11	7	1	0	1	16
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	26	3-7	0-0	6-8	8	0	3	1	12
Brady Dunlap	F	31	4-8	1-3	0-2	2	0	1	0	9
Jordan Dingle	Guard	18	4-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	9
Nahiem Alleyne	Guard	25	2-9	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Chris Ledlum	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	3
Zuby Ejiofor	F	7	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	2	3
Simeon Wilcher	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sean Conway	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

106.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency106.6

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

50.8%Effective FG%54.6%

51.4%True Shooting %56.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate18.9%

34.4%Free Throw Rate46.3%

37.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

St. John's won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.