Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Lafayette

82.3%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -465

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 69

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreColgate 80

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricColgate

39.6MMH Power Index48.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency111.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.0

-7.4Net Efficiency2.7

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.5Tempo68.4

49.4%Effective FG%54.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.0%

-5.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colgate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColgate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (111.7–102.9), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (2.7–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.0), free throw rate (33.0–30.0).

Final

Lafayette

69—64

Colgate

Lafayette by 5 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATColgate

25-52FG23-61

48.0%FG%38.0%

6-173PT5-17

35.0%3PT%29.0%

13-22FT13-19

59.0%FT%68.0%

33Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists13

11Turnovers9

5Steals6

3Blocks2

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Butler	G	30	6-8	0-0	2-4	2	3	0	0	14
Justin Vander Baan	C	33	5-9	2-4	1-2	8	1	2	3	13
Devin Hines	G	33	4-10	0-1	4-8	4	2	1	0	12
Ryan Pettit	G	27	4-8	2-5	2-4	0	3	0	0	12
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	30	3-7	1-3	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Joshua Wyche	F	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Eric Sondberg	Guard	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Luka Savicevic	G	10	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Chris Rubayo	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	36	6-10	2-5	3-4	11	0	0	0	17
Keegan Records	Forward	32	6-15	0-3	1-1	10	1	0	1	13
Braeden Smith	G	31	3-11	2-4	3-4	6	7	4	0	11
Jeff Woodward	Forward	21	3-8	0-0	4-7	8	3	0	0	10
Chandler Baker	Guard	7	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	22	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Brady Cummins	G	18	1-5	0-1	0-1	0	1	1	0	2
Jalen Cox	G	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Sam Thomson	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Parker Jones	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

53.8%Effective FG%41.8%

55.2%True Shooting %45.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.8%

42.3%Free Throw Rate31.1%

32.7%3-Point Rate27.9%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.