Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Northern Kentucky

59.0%Oakland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOakland -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL167.5

MODEL MONEYLINEOakland -144

Oakland

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 83

Projected Total167.5

Projected ScoreOakland 85

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricOakland

53.9MMH Power Index52.6

114.9Offensive Efficiency115.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.5

7.8Net Efficiency1.2

-2.9Strength of Schedule2.1

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.4

72.3Tempo71.4

54.5%Effective FG%53.3%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.5%

5.7Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–52.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.5), net efficiency (7.8–1.2), recent form (4.6–-1.4).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.7–114.9), strength of schedule (2.1–-2.9), ball security (14.7–16.3).

Final

Northern Kentucky

65—70

Oakland

Oakland by 5 • 80.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATOakland

25-68FG23-61

37.0%FG%38.0%

5-283PT6-26

18.0%3PT%23.0%

10-16FT18-29

63.0%FT%62.0%

43Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists11

15Turnovers18

14Steals7

3Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Wells	F	39	5-16	1-2	3-4	15	1	5	1	14
Trey Robinson	Guard	34	4-10	2-7	2-3	7	1	3	0	12
Marques Warrick	Guard	38	3-8	1-5	3-4	2	2	0	0	10
Michael Bradley	Guard	40	4-13	1-9	0-0	5	5	2	0	9
Keeyan Itejere	F	29	4-6	0-0	1-1	5	0	2	2	9
Randall Pettus II	G	12	2-7	0-4	1-3	2	0	1	0	5
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	22	2-4	0-1	0-1	5	1	0	0	4
Cade Meyer	Forward	11	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Townsend	Forward	43	6-15	0-0	6-9	7	2	1	0	18
DQ Cole	Guard	28	6-12	3-9	2-5	8	2	2	1	17
Rocket Watts	Guard	26	4-14	0-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
Jack Gohlke	Guard	20	2-6	2-6	3-6	3	1	0	0	9
Blake Lampman	Guard	42	1-7	1-7	3-3	5	2	2	1	6
Chris Conway	Forward	37	3-6	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Jones	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	3
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	1
Tone Hunter	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.2Possessions80.2

81.0Offensive Efficiency87.3

87.3Defensive Efficiency81.0

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

40.4%Effective FG%42.6%

43.0%True Shooting %46.8%

19.1%Turnover Rate22.0%

23.5%Free Throw Rate47.5%

41.2%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

Oakland won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 80.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.