Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Southern Illinois

49.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -102

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 71

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreValparaiso 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricValparaiso

54.6MMH Power Index49.9

103.4Offensive Efficiency106.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency105.8

4.9Net Efficiency0.8

1.6Strength of Schedule0.3

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.6Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%48.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

32.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

3.4Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–49.9), defensive efficiency (98.5–105.8), net efficiency (4.9–0.8), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–103.4), ball security (15.6–17.0), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Southern Illinois

77—68

Valparaiso

Southern Illinois by 9 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATValparaiso

26-51FG25-49

51.0%FG%51.0%

8-153PT4-13

53.0%3PT%31.0%

17-25FT14-19

68.0%FT%74.0%

31Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists11

11Turnovers12

7Steals3

1Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	27	5-13	2-4	10-10	3	7	1	0	22
Scottie Ebube	C	10	5-7	0-0	4-7	5	0	0	0	14
AJ Ferguson	Guard	24	4-7	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	11
Troy D'Amico	Forward	34	3-5	2-3	1-2	2	2	1	0	9
Trent Brown	Guard	36	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	2	2	0	8
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	16	2-2	1-1	0-2	1	1	1	0	5
Clarence Rupert	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	1	4
Trey Miller	G	13	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jovan Stulic	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	35	7-15	0-3	5-6	3	1	2	0	19
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	37	6-14	1-3	5-5	2	5	0	0	18
Cooper Schwieger	F	30	4-5	0-1	1-3	7	1	0	2	9
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	25	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Jerome Palm	F	13	2-2	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	5
Ola Ajiboye	F	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Kaspar Sepp	F	18	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Jaxon Edwards	G	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jahari Williamson	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Anthony Sciarroni	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

120.3Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency120.3

14.1Net Efficiency-14.1

58.8%Effective FG%55.1%

61.2%True Shooting %58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.7%

49.0%Free Throw Rate38.8%

29.4%3-Point Rate26.5%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.