Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Murray State

55.7%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -126

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreMissouri State 81

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricMissouri State

53.6MMH Power Index51.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.0Net Efficiency2.1

3.5Strength of Schedule0.5

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

72.3Tempo67.9

54.0%Effective FG%51.8%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–51.1), offensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), net efficiency (4.0–2.1), strength of schedule (3.5–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.4–111.0), recent form (-2.1–-9.5), offensive rebounding (33.0–32.7).

Final

Murray State

77—53

Missouri State

Murray State by 24 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATMissouri State

31-61FG20-58

51.0%FG%34.0%

5-183PT8-32

28.0%3PT%25.0%

10-14FT5-15

71.0%FT%33.0%

39Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists11

8Turnovers12

9Steals1

4Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	7-11	3-6	2-2	5	5	2	0	19
Quincy Anderson	Guard	29	7-11	1-4	3-3	9	1	0	0	18
Rob Perry	Guard	24	6-11	0-3	1-1	4	6	2	0	13
Brian Moore Jr.	G	25	4-9	0-1	2-2	6	1	1	0	10
Justin Morgan	Guard	18	1-2	1-2	2-4	5	0	1	1	5
Nick Ellington	F	29	2-7	0-0	0-2	3	2	3	2	4
Alden Applewhite	F	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Samuel Murray	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Fletcher Boatright	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Lawrent Rice	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	27	5-9	3-5	4-9	2	2	0	0	17
Chance Moore	G	33	5-11	2-7	0-0	5	0	1	1	12
Dawson Carper	Forward	14	3-5	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	6
Nick Kramer	Guard	14	2-7	2-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Tyler Bey	G	21	2-11	0-5	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Matthew Lee	Guard	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	3
Donovan Clay	Guard	29	1-8	0-3	0-2	5	4	0	0	2
Cesare Edwards	Center	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Raphe Ayres	Guard	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
NJ Benson	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency79.8

79.8Defensive Efficiency116.0

36.1Net Efficiency-36.1

54.9%Effective FG%41.4%

56.9%True Shooting %40.7%

11.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

23.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

29.5%3-Point Rate55.2%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Murray State won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.