Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Indiana State

67.5%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -208

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 73

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreDrake 78

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricDrake

44.4MMH Power Index46.4

104.7Offensive Efficiency109.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

-1.3Net Efficiency0.4

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.3Tempo68.6

53.6%Effective FG%52.2%

19.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

28.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

-0.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.5–104.7), net efficiency (0.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.3–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–109.1), recent form (-5.2–-11.3), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Final

Indiana State

78—89

Drake

Drake by 11 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATDrake

22-51FG30-64

43.0%FG%47.0%

11-303PT10-25

37.0%3PT%40.0%

23-25FT19-21

92.0%FT%90.0%

35Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists15

15Turnovers3

2Steals7

2Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	36	5-11	3-8	4-4	5	3	1	0	17
Robbie Avila	C	24	6-14	4-9	1-1	7	3	0	0	17
Isaiah Swope	Guard	36	2-8	1-6	7-8	1	1	0	0	12
Xavier Bledson	Guard	20	5-7	2-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	12
Julian Larry	Guard	32	0-4	0-0	10-10	1	2	1	0	10
Jayson Kent	Forward	32	3-5	0-1	1-2	10	1	0	1	7
Masen Miller	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Jake Wolfe	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Derek Vorst	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	38	10-22	6-10	3-3	6	4	0	0	29
Atin Wright	Guard	33	6-14	1-5	4-4	2	2	1	0	17
Kevin Overton	G	30	4-6	3-5	5-5	2	1	1	0	16
Darnell Brodie	Forward	24	7-11	0-0	1-1	6	3	0	1	15
Nate Ferguson	Forward	16	2-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	5
Conor Enright	G	32	0-3	0-1	3-4	3	3	3	0	3
Kyron Gibson	Guard	14	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	2	1	1	2
Colby Garland	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

109.1Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency109.1

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

53.9%Effective FG%54.7%

62.0%True Shooting %60.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate4.2%

49.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

58.8%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.87Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

Drake won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.