Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.2%Colorado

71.8%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -255

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 76

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia 83

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricCalifornia

52.7MMH Power Index56.5

112.9Offensive Efficiency111.8

112.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

0.5Net Efficiency7.0

5.1Strength of Schedule2.8

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

71.0Tempo69.9

53.0%Effective FG%52.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

0.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.9–111.8), strength of schedule (5.1–2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.6), ball security (14.6–14.9).

California COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.5–52.7), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.4), net efficiency (7.0–0.5).

Final

Colorado

78—82

California

California by 4 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATCalifornia

29-59FG26-65

49.0%FG%40.0%

6-153PT14-30

40.0%3PT%47.0%

14-19FT16-21

74.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists11

10Turnovers5

3Steals5

2Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	35	7-11	0-0	8-9	11	3	0	0	22
Tristan da Silva	Forward	37	8-14	4-7	0-1	6	2	0	0	20
Cody Williams	Forward	38	5-13	0-3	6-7	4	2	0	2	16
KJ Simpson	Guard	29	5-13	2-4	0-0	5	3	2	0	12
J'Vonne Hadley	G	35	3-6	0-0	0-2	8	2	1	0	6
Luke O'Brien	Forward	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Assane Diop	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Javon Ruffin	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	34	10-15	3-5	7-7	5	2	1	0	30
Jalen Cone	Guard	36	4-17	4-12	5-6	1	3	1	0	17
Jalen Celestine	G	24	2-7	2-5	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Grant Newell	F	20	3-5	2-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	18	2-4	2-3	1-2	0	0	0	0	7
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	24	3-8	0-0	0-0	10	2	1	1	6
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	28	2-8	1-2	0-2	4	2	1	1	5
Gus Larson	F	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	2	1
Devin Curtis	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

118.2Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency118.2

-6.1Net Efficiency6.1

54.2%Effective FG%50.8%

57.3%True Shooting %54.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate7.6%

32.2%Free Throw Rate32.3%

25.4%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

California won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.