NJIT

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%NJIT

75.0%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMass Lowell -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUMass Lowell -300

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNJIT 69

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 77

Team Comparison

NJITMetricUMass Lowell

38.5MMH Power Index43.8

98.1Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

-9.1Net Efficiency-2.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.6

-5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

68.3Tempo69.4

47.0%Effective FG%51.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-6.2Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMass Lowell HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMass Lowell holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.8–38.5), offensive efficiency (107.9–98.1), net efficiency (-2.0–-9.1), recent form (1.0–-5.8).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–109.9), strength of schedule (-0.5–-4.6), ball security (16.9–17.6).

Final

NJIT

62—70

UMass Lowell

UMass Lowell by 8 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NJITTEAM STATUMass Lowell

24-68FG21-49

35.0%FG%43.0%

6-213PT6-14

29.0%3PT%43.0%

8-11FT22-36

73.0%FT%61.0%

37Rebounds41

14Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists11

13Turnovers15

9Steals7

5Blocks9

24Fouls12

Player Box Score

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	31	6-20	3-10	0-0	6	1	1	1	15
Mekhi Gray	G	40	5-10	2-3	2-4	6	2	1	2	14
Elijah Buchanan	Guard	34	6-16	1-3	0-0	4	1	5	0	13
Justin Anderson	Guard	9	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	6
Sebastian Robinson	G	21	2-9	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	5
Levi Lawal	F	19	2-3	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	2	5
Eyal Nankin	Forward	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Jake Goldberg	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Adam Hess	Guard	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
JJ Chaikovsky	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden O'Connor	G	37	6-10	5-6	5-6	3	1	1	0	22
Ayinde Hikim	Guard	40	5-15	0-2	2-2	4	4	2	0	12
Quinton Mincey	Guard	28	3-6	1-3	4-10	9	1	0	1	11
Max Brooks	Forward	26	4-5	0-0	3-6	3	2	0	5	11
Cam Morris III	F	24	2-4	0-0	5-6	8	0	1	2	9
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly	Forward	12	1-4	0-0	3-6	2	0	1	1	5
Yuri Covington	Guard	24	0-4	0-3	0-0	7	2	2	0	0
Anthony Blunt	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

86.5Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency86.5

-11.2Net Efficiency11.2

39.7%Effective FG%49.0%

42.3%True Shooting %53.0%

18.0%Turnover Rate21.1%

16.2%Free Throw Rate73.5%

30.9%3-Point Rate28.6%

0.46Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

UMass Lowell won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.