UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%UMBC

46.0%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -117

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 70

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreVermont 70

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricVermont

59.1MMH Power Index53.1

113.0Offensive Efficiency112.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

14.0Net Efficiency7.5

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

65.5Tempo65.4

54.3%Effective FG%54.1%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.4%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

34.1%Free Throw Rate32.4%

9.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

UMBC

72—77

Vermont

Vermont by 5 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATVermont

30-72FG30-65

42.0%FG%46.0%

11-283PT12-31

39.0%3PT%39.0%

1-2FT5-7

50.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists18

5Turnovers6

3Steals4

4Blocks3

12Fouls8

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	36	7-15	6-10	0-1	8	3	1	0	20
Dion Brown	G	35	7-20	1-4	0-0	9	1	1	1	15
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	35	5-10	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	3	10
Ashton Reese	Guard	29	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Ace Valentine	G	28	3-6	0-2	1-1	3	4	0	0	7
Bryce Johnson	Guard	16	3-8	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Devan Sapp	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Franck Emmou	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Marlon Short	Guard	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	28	4-7	3-4	3-4	3	0	0	0	14
Matt Veretto	Forward	30	4-10	3-7	2-3	6	3	1	0	13
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	20	5-11	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	1	12
TJ Long	G	26	4-10	3-7	0-0	6	3	2	0	11
Aaron Deloney	Guard	20	4-8	0-3	0-0	2	6	0	0	8
Sam Alamutu	G	19	4-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	8
Jace Roquemore	Guard	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	18	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	2	0	2	3
Brenton Mills	Guard	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jackson Skipper	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

107.1Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

49.3%Effective FG%55.4%

49.3%True Shooting %56.3%

7.4%Turnover Rate9.0%

2.8%Free Throw Rate10.8%

38.9%3-Point Rate47.7%

2.80Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Vermont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.