South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%South Dakota State

83.8%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -517

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 71

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 82

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

49.6MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency116.8

106.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.7Net Efficiency14.6

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

68.2Tempo70.0

52.6%Effective FG%59.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.6Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–49.6), offensive efficiency (116.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–3.7).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-3.6), offensive rebounding (31.5–22.1).

Final

South Dakota State

81—80

St. Thomas-Minnesota

South Dakota State by 1 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

29-52FG25-57

56.0%FG%44.0%

10-163PT13-39

63.0%3PT%33.0%

13-16FT17-22

81.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists13

15Turnovers10

6Steals9

2Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zeke Mayo	Guard	37	7-12	3-3	8-9	9	3	3	0	25
William Kyle III	F	31	5-10	0-0	3-4	4	3	0	0	13
Luke Appel	Forward	29	5-8	1-2	2-3	2	1	1	0	13
Nate Barnhart	Forward	12	4-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	9
Charlie Easley	Guard	25	3-6	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	1	7
Matt Mims	Guard	30	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Kalen Garry	G	27	2-5	1-2	0-0	4	5	0	0	5
Matthew Mors	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Bubz Alvarez	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Raheem Anthony	Guard	35	5-9	2-4	9-13	4	3	0	1	21
Drake Dobbs	Guard	28	6-11	4-9	2-2	4	2	1	1	18
Kendall Blue	G	28	6-12	2-6	3-3	0	0	1	1	17
Brooks Allen	Forward	31	4-8	3-6	0-0	5	4	2	1	11
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	24	3-10	1-8	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Ben Nau	Guard	20	1-4	1-4	1-2	2	1	1	0	4
Ahjany Lee	F	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	0	2
Ryan Dufault	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Carter Bjerke	F	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

118.1Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency118.1

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

65.4%Effective FG%55.3%

68.0%True Shooting %59.3%

21.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

30.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

30.8%3-Point Rate68.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

South Dakota State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.