Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Jackson State

79.0%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -376

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 72

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreAlabama State 83

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricAlabama State

30.7MMH Power Index38

98.1Offensive Efficiency101.7

117.0Defensive Efficiency107.4

-18.9Net Efficiency-5.7

-0.7Strength of Schedule-6.2

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

71.6Tempo71.9

45.8%Effective FG%48.2%

19.4%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-13.5Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–30.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–98.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.0), net efficiency (-5.7–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.2), free throw rate (37.9–35.8).

Final

Jackson State

73—63

Alabama State

Jackson State by 10 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATAlabama State

24-51FG23-67

47.0%FG%34.0%

5-173PT10-35

29.0%3PT%29.0%

20-24FT7-9

83.0%FT%78.0%

39Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists9

20Turnovers18

10Steals14

6Blocks6

12Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ken Evans Jr.	Guard	39	7-13	1-5	9-10	2	2	5	0	24
Jordan O'Neal	Forward	36	6-9	1-1	3-5	9	1	0	5	16
Chase Adams	Guard	33	5-12	2-4	4-4	4	6	4	0	16
Zeke Cook	F	34	2-5	0-1	4-5	14	1	0	1	8
Keionte Cornelius	G	8	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Keijuan Johnson	Forward	13	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Coltie Young	Guard	32	0-7	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Keiveon Hunt	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	35	7-16	1-5	5-5	8	2	3	1	20
Isaiah Range	Guard	33	4-15	3-12	1-2	1	0	0	1	12
Sean Smith	G	20	4-6	2-2	1-2	0	2	2	1	11
Micah Octave	G	28	3-10	1-4	0-0	3	1	4	0	7
CJ Hines	G	25	2-7	2-5	0-0	2	3	0	1	6
Kendal Parker	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Eric Coleman	Forward	16	1-6	0-3	0-0	7	0	2	0	2
Amarr Knox	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ubong Okon	C	22	0-2	0-0	0-0	8	0	2	1	0
JaSteven Walker	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

98.8Offensive Efficiency85.3

85.3Defensive Efficiency98.8

13.5Net Efficiency-13.5

52.0%Effective FG%41.8%

58.5%True Shooting %44.2%

27.2%Turnover Rate24.2%

47.1%Free Throw Rate13.4%

33.3%3-Point Rate52.2%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.