Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Cal State Northridge

58.2%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -139

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreUC Davis 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Davis

50MMH Power Index48.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.7

2.1Net Efficiency3.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

75.9Tempo72.4

51.0%Effective FG%52.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.7%Free Throw Rate41.5%

1.6Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–48.4), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.9), recent form (1.8–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–105.2), net efficiency (3.5–2.1), shooting efficiency (52.3–51.0).

Final

Cal State Northridge

75—95

UC Davis

UC Davis by 20 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Davis

25-57FG32-58

44.0%FG%55.0%

6-203PT15-34

30.0%3PT%44.0%

19-26FT16-22

73.0%FT%73.0%

32Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists20

15Turnovers13

7Steals8

3Blocks3

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	34	6-13	2-4	5-5	3	2	1	0	19
Gianni Hunt	G	34	4-9	1-6	3-4	4	5	1	0	12
Bryan Ndjonga	F	24	4-8	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	11
Mahmoud Fofana	F	23	3-5	0-0	4-5	4	1	0	1	10
Keonte Jones	G	20	3-6	0-0	3-7	5	0	3	1	9
Kyle Frelow	Forward	6	3-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	7
Jasman Sangha	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Dionte Bostick	Guard	22	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Dearon Tucker	Center	6	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Jared Barnett	Guard	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kane Milling	Guard	34	9-19	6-14	3-4	3	0	0	0	27
Elijah Pepper	Guard	28	5-12	4-11	6-6	2	7	1	0	20
TY Johnson	Guard	25	7-10	3-4	3-6	1	4	1	0	20
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	17	3-7	2-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	8
Ade Adebayo	Forward	29	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	6
Francesco Borra	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	4
Niko Rocak	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	4	2	2	4
Connor Sevilla	G	2	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Pablo Tamba	F	15	0-1	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Manu	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Drew Carter	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

102.0Offensive Efficiency129.3

129.3Defensive Efficiency102.0

-27.2Net Efficiency27.2

49.1%Effective FG%68.1%

54.1%True Shooting %69.4%

20.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

45.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

35.1%3-Point Rate58.6%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.