Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Northern Arizona

91.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -1063

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 67

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 83

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricMontana State

36.9MMH Power Index53.6

107.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.8Defensive Efficiency104.9

-7.7Net Efficiency9.5

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.7

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

66.6Tempo68.1

53.5%Effective FG%55.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-5.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–114.8), net efficiency (9.5–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.7), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Northern Arizona

50—79

Montana State

Montana State by 29 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATMontana State

15-51FG26-47

29.0%FG%55.0%

4-243PT8-20

17.0%3PT%40.0%

16-19FT19-23

84.0%FT%83.0%

24Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists13

16Turnovers14

5Steals11

—Blocks1

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	30	4-13	1-7	4-5	3	1	0	13
Carson Basham	Forward	22	3-5	0-0	3-3	6	1	0	9
Ryan Abelman	G	6	1-1	1-1	4-4	0	0	1	7
Oakland Fort	G	19	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	5
Jayden Jackson	G	22	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	4
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	12	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	4
Diego Campisano	F	25	1-5	0-3	1-1	2	2	1	3
Liam Lloyd	Guard	21	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	0	0	3
Isaiah Kai	Guard	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2
C.J. Ford	Guard	24	0-4	0-3	0-2	1	1	0	0
Arman Madi	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	23	7-11	0-0	3-6	6	0	2	0	17
Robert Ford III	Guard	31	5-8	1-4	4-5	12	4	3	0	15
Brian Goracke	Forward	23	2-7	2-5	8-8	2	0	1	1	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	32	5-10	2-6	0-0	3	0	3	0	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	28	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	0	6
Jed Miller	G	4	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Chika Nduka	Forward	15	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Jaden Geron	G	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
John Olmsted	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Eddie Turner III	Guard	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	4	1	0	0
Carter Ash	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

72.5Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency72.5

-42.0Net Efficiency42.0

33.3%Effective FG%63.8%

41.6%True Shooting %68.2%

22.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate48.9%

47.1%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Montana State won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.