Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Tarleton State

88.4%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -762

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 66

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 79

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricCalifornia Baptist

44.6MMH Power Index58.3

103.2Offensive Efficiency106.5

101.6Defensive Efficiency99.0

1.6Net Efficiency7.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule1.8

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

72.2Tempo68.2

49.0%Effective FG%48.8%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

1.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–101.6), net efficiency (7.5–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.0–48.8), free throw rate (42.8–37.0).

Final

Tarleton State

63—77

California Baptist

California Baptist by 14 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

25-56FG30-63

45.0%FG%48.0%

3-113PT6-21

27.0%3PT%29.0%

10-14FT11-15

71.0%FT%73.0%

24Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists13

9Turnovers11

7Steals4

6Blocks7

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	32	5-11	0-1	2-3	0	2	2	0	12
Dario Domingos	F	14	4-5	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	1	11
Lue Williams	Guard	33	2-6	0-1	4-5	3	0	2	0	8
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	26	4-9	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	3	8
Jakorie Smith	Forward	23	3-8	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	7
Miles Lewis	Guard	8	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	29	2-7	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	5
Izzy Miles	G	8	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Traivar Jackson	F	17	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	1	1
Bubu Benjamin	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Adam Moussa	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	36	5-11	2-5	5-6	1	6	0	0	17
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	33	6-10	2-4	0-1	12	3	1	0	14
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	28	7-10	0-0	0-0	13	0	0	4	14
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	32	3-8	2-6	2-2	4	1	1	2	10
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	25	4-11	0-1	2-4	2	0	1	0	10
Kendal Coleman	Forward	20	4-6	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	0	10
Scotty Washington	G	19	1-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Chris Chiles	Guard	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Tylen Riley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency122.4

122.4Defensive Efficiency100.2

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

47.3%Effective FG%52.4%

50.3%True Shooting %54.9%

14.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.0%Free Throw Rate23.8%

19.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.