Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Cal Poly

48.0%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -108

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 82

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Riverside

46.5MMH Power Index41.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.1

-3.8Net Efficiency-7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule0.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

76.6Tempo70.7

52.2%Effective FG%49.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-2.9Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

56—71

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 15 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Riverside

21-50FG27-62

42.0%FG%44.0%

6-143PT7-20

43.0%3PT%35.0%

8-15FT10-15

53.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds44

5Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists16

11Turnovers10

3Steals5

9Blocks1

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	22	6-9	0-0	3-7	3	1	0	1	15
Quentin Jones	G	29	3-12	2-3	1-2	6	3	1	0	9
Aidan Prukop	Guard	16	3-6	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Isaac Spears	Guard	37	4-7	0-1	0-1	3	2	0	0	8
Hayden Jory	Guard	24	1-3	1-3	2-2	3	4	0	0	5
Paul Bizimana	Forward	19	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	2	4
Justin Page	G	15	2-6	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	4
Joel Armotrading	C	18	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	4	2
Cole Haller	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Moses	G	32	4-8	3-3	4-4	6	3	0	0	15
Kaleb Smith	F	24	6-13	2-5	0-0	9	0	1	0	14
Kyle Owens	Forward	28	4-10	1-5	1-4	10	2	0	0	10
Nate Pickens	G	26	3-12	0-4	4-5	3	3	0	1	10
Barrington Hargress	G	35	4-9	0-1	0-0	1	7	2	0	8
Wil Tattersall	Forward	15	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Benjamin Griscti	Not Available	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Niyi Olabode	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Vlad Salaridze	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

88.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency88.1

-23.6Net Efficiency23.6

48.0%Effective FG%49.2%

49.0%True Shooting %51.4%

17.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.0%Free Throw Rate24.2%

28.0%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.