Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.6%Cal State Bakersfield

93.4%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -18.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -1415

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 68

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Santa Barbara

32.2MMH Power Index51.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

-12.4Net Efficiency7.1

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

73.0Tempo68.5

46.4%Effective FG%54.8%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

64—66

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 2 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

25-67FG25-55

37.0%FG%45.0%

3-123PT4-17

25.0%3PT%24.0%

11-15FT12-23

73.0%FT%52.0%

40Rebounds38

17Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists11

16Turnovers19

10Steals6

7Blocks8

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Stephenson	G	33	4-13	0-1	4-7	8	0	2	0	12
Marvin McGhee III	G	32	4-11	3-6	1-2	4	1	0	0	12
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	32	5-9	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	2	10
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	27	2-9	0-3	6-6	1	3	0	0	10
Tom Mark	F	38	4-11	0-1	0-0	10	0	1	3	8
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	26	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	2	4	2	8
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Dalph Panopio	Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jaden Alexander	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	42	8-14	1-3	5-9	5	3	2	1	22
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	40	6-8	0-0	0-3	6	3	0	1	12
Cole Anderson	Guard	24	4-10	3-8	0-0	0	0	0	0	11
Yohan Traore	F	39	3-10	0-0	4-8	6	0	1	2	10
Ariel Bland	F	33	3-5	0-0	0-0	10	1	3	3	6
Jason Fontenet II	G	18	1-2	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Matija Belic	F	10	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
Ben Shtolzberg	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

88.3Offensive Efficiency91.0

91.0Defensive Efficiency88.3

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

39.6%Effective FG%49.1%

43.2%True Shooting %50.1%

21.9%Turnover Rate26.4%

22.4%Free Throw Rate41.8%

17.9%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.